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Italy | Serie A | Juventus - Fiorentina | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 81'   —   Juventus 0:1 Fiorentina
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 19 7 12 6 - 2.42 3.3 4 1.11 -
Away 1 0 0 9 3 6 1 - - 6.6 1.23 1.32 1.52
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
6.5 2.88 1.8 1.91 1.36 1.11 - - 1.62 2.25 4.33 1.22 13 1.04
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.5% | EV +41.9% | ROI +52.5% | n=17 | k=1.52
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.2% | EV +22.8% | ROI +28.7% | n=17 | k=1.32
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +1.0% | EV +2.8% | ROI +35.3% | n=17 | k=2.88
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.9% | EV -6.3% | ROI +14.7% | n=17 | k=1.62
AI-agent: At the 81st minute of Juventus vs Fiorentina, the score is 0:1 with the away team leading, though the home side leads in shots. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.52, with historical validation showing strong ROI and 100% win rate in 17 similar matches, but the sample size is below the threshold. The model edge is +27.5% and EV +41.9%, yet entry is not confirmed given the current score and tempo. The current status is Watch, not Bet; the market should stay on watch until further confirmation of activity or a shift in the match dynamics.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378229 | minute: 81