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Italy | Serie A | Pisa - Napoli | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 55'   —   Pisa 0:2 Napoli
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 2 2 1 - - - - 2.08 2.38
Away 2 0 0 8 4 4 5 - 1.55 1.73 - - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
51 26 1.01 26 1.01 1 - - - - 1.35 3.1 2.6 1.48
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.3% | EV +60.9% | ROI +54.4% | n=4 | k=1.73
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +21.0% | EV +32.5% | ROI +16.2% | n=4 | k=1.55
3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.2% | ROI -32.5% | n=4 | k=1.35
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -6.5% | EV -20.2% | ROI +55.0% | n=4 | k=3.10
AI-agent: At the 55th minute with a 0:2 score favoring Napoli, the visitors confirm their shot advantage, although the last phase shows pressure from Pisa. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap -1 market at odds 1.73, with the model edge at +35.3% and EV +60.9%. Historical validation shows a positive ROI of +54.4% from 4 matches, but the sample size is too small for a confident entry. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as a larger historical base is needed to confirm the bet. We monitor tempo changes and home pressure for a possible position opening.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378230 | minute: 55