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Italy | Serie A | Pisa - Napoli | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 62'   —   Pisa 0:2 Napoli
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 2 2 1 - - - - 2.08 2.38
Away 2 0 0 8 4 4 5 - 1.55 1.73 - - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
81 29 1.01 26 1.01 1 - - - - 1.5 2.62 3.4 1.33
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.4% | EV +61.1% | ROI +60.4% | n=6 | k=1.73
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +22.0% | EV +34.1% | ROI +29.2% | n=6 | k=1.55
3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +3.1% | ROI -25.0% | n=6 | k=1.50
4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -7.7% | EV -10.2% | ROI -11.1% | n=6 | k=1.33
AI-agent: At the 62nd minute with a 0:2 score favoring Napoli, the visitors confirm their shot advantage, although the last phase is under Pisa’s pressure. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap -1 market at odds 1.73, where the model edge is +35.4% and EV +61.1%. Historical validation shows a positive ROI of +60.4% on a small sample of 6 games but does not meet the threshold to open a bet. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as stronger historical support and confirmation on tempo and home pressure are needed.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378230 | minute: 62