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Italy | Serie A | Pisa - Napoli | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 87'   —   Pisa 0:2 Napoli
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 2 2 1 - - - - 2.08 2.38
Away 2 0 0 9 4 5 6 - 1.55 1.73 - - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
401 51 1 29 1.01 1 - - - - 4.1 1.23 26 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.8% | EV +61.8% | ROI +62.1% | n=7 | k=1.73
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +24.8% | EV +38.4% | ROI +32.9% | n=7 | k=1.55
3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +3.0% | EV +12.2% | ROI +17.1% | n=7 | k=4.10
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -31.4% | EV -74.6% | ROI -66.1% | n=7 | k=2.38
AI-agent: At the 87th minute with a 0:2 score favoring Napoli, the visitors confirm their shot advantage, but there is no sustained pressure in recent minutes. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap -1 market at odds 1.73, with the model edge at +35.8% and EV +61.8%, yet the entry window closed after the 86th minute. Historical validation from 7 matches shows a strong ROI of +62.1%, but the sample is too small to open a bet. The current status is Watch, not Bet; a bet requires an earlier entry point or increased game pressure.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378230 | minute: 87