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Italy | Serie A | Pisa - Napoli | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Pisa 0:2 Napoli
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 2 2 1 - - - - 2.08 2.38
Away 2 0 0 9 4 5 6 - 1.55 1.73 - - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
401 51 1 29 1.01 1 - - - - 6.1 1.13 26 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.2% | EV +53.9% | ROI +60.4% | n=6 | k=1.73
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +9.0% | EV +21.4% | ROI -60.4% | n=6 | k=2.38
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -15.6% | EV -24.3% | ROI +29.2% | n=6 | k=1.55
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -37.4% | EV -77.6% | ROI -83.3% | n=6 | k=2.08
AI-agent: At the 90th minute with a 0:2 score favoring Napoli, the visitors confirm their advantage in shots and control, reflected by the drop in odds for AH_AWAY-1 to 1.73. Historical validation shows a strong ROI of +60.4% with 100% wins, but the sample size of 6 matches limits reliability. The model edge is significant at +31.2% with EV +53.9%, yet the entry window for this bet closed after the 86th minute. The current status is Watch, not Bet; the market should stay on watch for further confirmation from tempo, shots, or odds movement.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378230 | minute: 90