Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	1	1	4	-	2.67	2.05	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.8	1.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.57	3.75	6.5	1.11	1.25	2.25	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.25	1.62	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +7.7% | EV +11.2% | ROI +25.6% | n=1889 | k=1.45

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.0% | EV +25.2% | ROI +40.3% | n=1889 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.9% | EV +20.0% | ROI +50.9% | n=1889 | k=2.25

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +1.9% | EV +7.2% | ROI +18.5% | n=1889 | k=3.75

AI-agent: At the 15th minute of Roma vs Lazio, the score is 0:0 with balanced play but a slight edge for the home side in shots and pressure. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 at odds 1.45, with historical validation over 1889 matches showing a 25.6% ROI and 86.6% win probability. The model edge is +7.7% and expected value +11.2%, so the bet is already open and no repeat is needed now. The current status is Bet with risk control; further confirmation could come from tempo development and home team pressure on the opponent’s goal.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 15