Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	1	3	4	-	2.67	2.67	1.27	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	-	3.55	1.45	1.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.8	3	5.5	1.14	1.36	1.91	1.17	5	1.75	2.05	3.4	1.33	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +15.6% | EV +22.6% | ROI +29.9% | n=1191 | k=1.45

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +9.5% | EV +52.1% | ROI +81.5% | n=1191 | k=5.50

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +9.1% | EV +17.3% | ROI +33.2% | n=1191 | k=1.91

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.0% | EV +15.9% | ROI +21.0% | n=1191 | k=1.45

AI-agent: At the 33rd minute of Roma vs Lazio, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the AH_AWAY+1.5 market at odds 1.45, with historical validation over 1191 matches showing a 29.9% ROI and 89.6% win probability. The model edge is +15.6% with an EV of +22.6%, but no new bet is opened since the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation of increased pressure or tempo change before entering a new position.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 33