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Match Replay

Step 43 of 78. Current minute: 48 .
Italy | Serie A | Roma - Lazio | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 48'   —   Roma 1:0 Lazio
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 6 2 4 5 - 2.38 1.55 1.35 - -
Away 0 0 0 4 1 3 1 - - - 3.1 2.38 1.55
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.25 5 15 1.03 1.17 3.75 - - 1.28 3.75 2.25 1.62 5 1.17
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +9.7% | EV +15.0% | ROI +10.5% | n=467 | k=1.55
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.7% | EV +37.4% | ROI +23.4% | n=467 | k=2.38
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.7% | EV +32.7% | ROI +42.1% | n=467 | k=3.75
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.6% | EV +18.0% | ROI +29.6% | n=467 | k=5.00
AI-agent: At the 48th minute, Roma leads Lazio 1:0 in a balanced game without clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the AH_AWAY+1.5 market at odds 1.55, with historical validation from 467 matches showing a 10.5% ROI and 71.3% win probability. The model edge is +9.7% with an EV of +15.0%, but no new bet is opened as the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch; this market should stay on watch awaiting confirmation from tempo and attacking pressure.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 48