Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	2	4	5	-	2.5	1.57	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	1	-	-	-	3.1	2.35	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	5	17	1.02	1.17	3.75	-	-	1.35	3.1	2.6	1.48	6.5	1.11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +10.7% | EV +16.1% | ROI +12.4% | n=427 | k=1.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.8% | EV +41.9% | ROI +22.4% | n=427 | k=2.35

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.8% | EV +29.3% | ROI +31.7% | n=427 | k=3.75

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.9% | EV +19.6% | ROI +21.8% | n=427 | k=5.00

AI-agent: At the 56th minute, Roma leads 1-0, but there is no clear dominance in game control or shots. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 at odds 1.50, with historical validation over 427 matches showing a 12.4% ROI; the model edge is +10.7% and EV +16.1%. However, no new bet is opened since this position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation through sustained pressure or odds movement.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 56