Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	2	4	5	-	2.6	1.57	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	1	-	-	-	3.1	2.35	1.48

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	5	17	1.02	1.17	3.75	-	-	1.38	3	2.75	1.43	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +10.5% | EV +15.4% | ROI +10.2% | n=419 | k=1.48

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.8% | EV +44.1% | ROI +21.7% | n=419 | k=2.35

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.8% | EV +29.3% | ROI +30.7% | n=419 | k=3.75

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.9% | EV +19.6% | ROI +22.9% | n=419 | k=5.00

AI-agent: At the 57th minute, Roma leads 1:0, but game control is balanced without clear dominance, and pressure from both sides is even. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 at odds 1.48, with historical validation over 419 matches showing a 10.2% ROI; the model edge is +10.5% with an EV of +15.4%. However, no new bet is opened since this position is already covered in the portfolio, so the current status is Watch. Additional confirmation from increased pressure or odds movement is needed to enter.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 57