Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	2	4	6	-	2.67	1.55	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	2	-	-	-	3.1	2.38	1.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.22	5	19	1.02	1.17	4	-	-	1.43	2.75	3	1.38	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +10.3% | EV +15.0% | ROI +9.1% | n=396 | k=1.45

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.5% | EV +46.3% | ROI +20.4% | n=396 | k=2.38

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.2% | EV +33.0% | ROI +31.3% | n=396 | k=4.00

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.8% | EV +19.2% | ROI +19.9% | n=396 | k=5.00

AI-agent: At the 60th minute, Roma leads 1:0, but the game balance is even with Lazio pressing more recently. TOP-4 highlights the AH_AWAY+1.5 market at odds 1.45, supported by historical validation showing 9.1% ROI on 396 matches. The model edge is +10.3% with EV +15.0%, yet no new bet is opened due to an existing position or portfolio coverage. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation from tempo and guest pressure for a potential entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 60