Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	2	4	6	-	2.67	1.5	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	2	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	1.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.2	5.5	23	1.01	1.14	4.33	-	-	1.5	2.5	3.5	1.3	10	1.06

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +11.0% | EV +16.0% | ROI +13.9% | n=373 | k=1.45

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.2% | EV +50.4% | ROI +26.4% | n=373 | k=2.50

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.1% | EV +31.0% | ROI +38.2% | n=373 | k=4.33

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +4.1% | EV +22.3% | ROI +37.1% | n=373 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At the 64th minute in the Roma vs Lazio match with a 1:0 score, the game shows no clear dominance, with the away side more active recently. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 at odds 1.45, with historical validation over 373 matches showing a 13.9% ROI and 78.6% win probability. The model edge is +11% and EV +16%, but the bet is already open or covered in the portfolio, so no new entry is advised. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting further confirmation from away pressure and odds movement.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 64