Match Replay

Step 63 of 78. Current minute: 76 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	10	5	5	7	-	1.16	1.5	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	2	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	5.25

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	23	81	1	1.01	23	-	-	-	-	2.02	1.82	6.5	1.11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.1% | EV +25.7% | ROI +32.5% | n=157 | k=1.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.1% | EV +26.7% | ROI +43.8% | n=157 | k=5.25

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.4% | ROI -3.3% | n=157 | k=2.02

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.5% | EV -6.4% | ROI -4.7% | n=157 | k=1.82

AI-agent: At the 76th minute with Roma leading 2:0, the home side controls the game, supported by their shot activity and a 14% drop in the handicap odds for -1. Historical validation confirms strong performance of AH_HOME-1 with a 32.5% ROI over 157 matches, while the model shows an edge of +17.1% and EV of +25.7%. TOP-4 highlights the home handicap -1 bet at 1.50 odds, but no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. The current status is Watch; the bet should stay on watch awaiting further confirmation from home pressure and odds movement.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 76