Match Replay

Step 70 of 78. Current minute: 86 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	11	5	6	7	-	1.13	1.5	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	3	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	5.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	41	351	1	1.01	29	-	-	-	-	3	1.4	15	1.03

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.7% | EV +26.6% | ROI +40.9% | n=148 | k=1.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.6% | EV +33.0% | ROI -0.3% | n=148 | k=5.90

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.2% | ROI -20.9% | n=148 | k=3.00

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.4% | EV -6.1% | ROI +3.1% | n=148 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At the 86th minute, Roma leads Lazio 2:0 with a balanced game and no clear pressure from either side. TOP-4 highlights the AH_HOME-1 market at odds 1.50, with historical validation over 148 matches showing a 40.9% ROI and 99.2% win probability. The model edge is +17.7% with an EV of +26.6%, but no new bet is opened as the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch; this market should stay on watch awaiting confirmation from tempo and pressure in the remaining minutes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 86