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Italy | Serie A | Roma - Lazio | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 28'   —   Roma 0:0 Lazio
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 2 1 1 4 - 2.67 2.38 - - -
Away 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 - - - - 1.55 1.45
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.73 3.2 6 1.12 1.33 2 1.14 5.5 1.62 2.25 3 1.4 6 1.12
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +14.3% | EV +20.7% | ROI +28.4% | n=1352 | k=1.45
2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +9.4% | EV +56.5% | ROI +100.6% | n=1352 | k=6.00
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +13.3% | EV +20.6% | ROI +26.2% | n=1352 | k=1.55
4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.7% | EV +17.3% | ROI +36.8% | n=1352 | k=2.00
AI-agent: At the 28th minute of Roma vs Lazio, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and a slight home tempo advantage. TOP-4 highlights the AH_AWAY+1.5 market at odds 1.45, with historical validation over 1352 matches showing a 28.4% ROI and 88.5% win probability. The model edge is +14.3% and EV +20.7%, but no new bet is opened since the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting further confirmation from guest pressure and shot dynamics.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 28