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Italy | Serie A | Roma - Lazio | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 45'   —   Roma 1:0 Lazio
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 5 2 3 5 - 2.35 1.52 1.35 - -
Away 0 0 0 4 1 3 1 - - - 3.1 2.42 1.57
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.25 5 15 1.03 1.17 3.75 - - 1.28 3.75 2.15 1.68 4.5 1.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +10.0% | EV +15.7% | ROI +15.0% | n=467 | k=1.57
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.9% | EV +38.6% | ROI +30.7% | n=467 | k=2.42
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.7% | EV +32.7% | ROI +51.8% | n=467 | k=3.75
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.6% | EV +18.0% | ROI +36.0% | n=467 | k=5.00
AI-agent: At the 45th minute of Roma vs Lazio, the score is 1:0 with no clear dominance by either side. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.57, with historical validation over 467 matches showing a 15% ROI, and the model edge at +10% with an EV of +15.7%. No new bet is opened as this position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting further confirmation such as changes in tempo or pressure on the opponent’s goal.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 45