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Italy | Serie A | Roma - Lazio | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 51'   —   Roma 1:0 Lazio
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 6 2 4 5 - 2.42 1.57 1.35 - -
Away 0 0 0 6 2 4 1 - - - 3.1 2.35 1.52
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.28 4.75 15 1.03 1.17 3.5 - - 1.28 3.75 2.3 1.6 5 1.17
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +10.3% | EV +15.7% | ROI +11.3% | n=466 | k=1.52
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.9% | EV +41.9% | ROI +23.9% | n=466 | k=2.35
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.3% | EV +28.9% | ROI +32.2% | n=466 | k=3.50
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.9% | EV +18.6% | ROI +21.3% | n=466 | k=4.75
AI-agent: At the 51st minute, Roma leads 1:0, but there is no clear dominance in game control or shots. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 at odds 1.52, with strong historical validation (ROI 11.3%, sample 466 matches). The model shows a positive edge of +10.3% and EV of +15.7%, yet no new bet is opened as this position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting further confirmation from tempo and shot dynamics.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 51