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Italy | Serie A | Roma - Lazio | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 58'   —   Roma 1:0 Lazio
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 6 2 4 6 - 2.6 1.55 1.35 - -
Away 0 0 0 6 2 4 2 - - - 3.1 2.38 1.48
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.22 5 19 1.02 1.17 4 - - 1.4 2.85 2.85 1.4 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +10.6% | EV +15.7% | ROI +10.2% | n=411 | k=1.48
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.5% | EV +44.0% | ROI +21.5% | n=411 | k=2.38
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.2% | EV +33.0% | ROI +36.3% | n=411 | k=4.00
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.8% | EV +19.2% | ROI +19.2% | n=411 | k=5.00
AI-agent: At the 58th minute, Roma leads 1:0 but the game balance is even with no clear pressure or shot dominance. TOP-4 highlights the AH_AWAY+1.5 market at odds 1.48, with strong historical validation (ROI 10.2%, sample 411 matches). The model edge is +10.6% and EV +15.7%, yet no new bet is opened as the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation from tempo shifts, pressure, or odds movement.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 58