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Italy | Serie A | Roma - Lazio | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 70'   —   Roma 2:0 Lazio
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 10 5 5 7 - 2.75 1.5 1.35 - -
Away 0 0 0 6 2 4 2 - - - 3.1 2.5 1.43
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.01 21 67 1 1.01 21 - - - - 1.73 2.1 4.5 1.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.9% | EV +25.4% | ROI +33.1% | n=145 | k=1.50
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +38.8% | EV +106.6% | ROI +104.8% | n=145 | k=2.75
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.8% | EV -3.0% | ROI -8.3% | n=145 | k=1.73
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.8% | EV -7.9% | ROI -1.5% | n=145 | k=2.10
AI-agent: At the 70th minute, Roma leads 2:0 and controls the game, increasing pressure on the opponent. TOP-4 highlights the home handicap -1 market at odds 1.50, with historical validation over 145 matches showing a 33.1% ROI and 94.7% win probability. The model edge is +16.9% and EV +25.4%, above the entry threshold, so the bet is open and does not need repeating now. The current status is Bet with confirmation, and the bet should be monitored for tempo and pressure developments.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 70