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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	10	5	5	7	-	1.16	1.5	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	2	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	5.25

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	26	101	1	1.01	26	-	-	-	-	2.12	1.75	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.2% | EV +25.8% | ROI +33.9% | n=161 | k=1.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.0% | EV +26.0% | ROI +37.0% | n=161 | k=5.25

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.6% | EV -1.3% | ROI -3.6% | n=161 | k=2.12

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -6.3% | ROI -4.3% | n=161 | k=1.75

AI-agent: At the 77th minute, Roma leads Lazio 2:0 with control and shot dominance, reflected in a 14% drop in odds for the home -1 handicap. Historical validation for AH_HOME-1 is strong with 161 matches, 33.9% ROI, and 96% win rate, supporting the model’s edge of +17.2% and EV of +25.8% at odds 1.50. The position is already covered in the portfolio, so no new bet is opened now. The current status is Watch; the market should stay on watch awaiting further confirmation from home pressure and odds movement.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 77