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Italy | Serie A | Roma - Lazio | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 84'   —   Roma 2:0 Lazio
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 11 5 6 7 - 1.12 1.5 1.35 - -
Away 0 0 0 6 2 4 3 - - - 3.1 2.5 6.25
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1 41 301 1 1.01 29 - - - - 2.8 1.45 15 1.03
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.6% | EV +26.5% | ROI +39.2% | n=148 | k=1.50
2) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.2% | ROI -14.9% | n=148 | k=2.80
3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.3% | EV -6.2% | ROI +0.9% | n=148 | k=1.45
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -24.3% | EV -60.8% | ROI -78.7% | n=148 | k=2.50
AI-agent: At the 84th minute, Roma leads Lazio 2:0 with the home side controlling the game and applying pressure in the final phase. TOP-4 highlights the home handicap -1 market at odds 1.50, with historical validation over 148 matches showing a 39.2% ROI and 99.2% win probability. The model edge is +17.6% and EV +26.5%, but no new bet is opened since the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch; this market should stay on watch awaiting confirmation from tempo and further match developments.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 84