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Italy | Serie A | Roma - Lazio | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 89'   —   Roma 2:0 Lazio
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 11 5 6 7 - 1.13 1.5 1.35 - -
Away 0 0 0 6 2 4 3 - - - 3.1 2.5 5.9
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1 51 501 1 1.01 29 - - - - 4.25 1.22 26 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.9% | EV +26.8% | ROI +42.6% | n=149 | k=1.50
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.9% | EV +29.2% | ROI -12.9% | n=149 | k=5.90
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.3% | EV -1.4% | ROI -8.7% | n=149 | k=4.25
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -24.6% | EV -61.4% | ROI -85.2% | n=149 | k=2.50
AI-agent: At the 89th minute, Roma leads Lazio 2:0. The market favors the home handicap -1 at odds of 1.50, with strong historical validation: 149 matches, 42.6% ROI, and a 100% win rate. The model shows an edge of +17.9% and EV of +26.8%, but the entry window for this bet closed after the 86th minute. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation through clearer pressure or odds movement for a possible entry.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 89