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Italy | Serie A | Roma - Lazio | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Roma 2:0 Lazio
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 12 6 6 7 - 1.13 1.5 1.35 - -
Away 0 0 0 6 2 4 3 - - - 3.1 2.5 5.9
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1 51 501 1 1.01 29 - - - - 6.25 1.12 26 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +56.9% | EV +335.9% | ROI -38.8% | n=135 | k=5.90
2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.8% | EV -2.7% | ROI +44.8% | n=135 | k=1.50
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.9% | EV -12.2% | ROI -89.6% | n=135 | k=2.50
AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Roma leading 2:0, the home side is in control, reflected by a 14% drop in the away +1.5 handicap odds from pre-match and greater shot activity. TOP-4 highlights the AH_AWAY+1.5 market at 5.90 odds with a model edge of +56.9%, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -38.8%, which does not support placing a bet. The entry window for this market closed after the 86th minute, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Further confirmation from tempo and home pressure in the final moments is needed.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 90