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Italy | Serie A | Roma - Lazio | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Roma 2:0 Lazio
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 13 6 7 7 - 1.13 1.5 1.35 - -
Away 0 0 0 6 2 4 3 - - - 3.1 2.5 5.9
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1 51 501 1 1.01 29 - - - - 8.5 1.08 26 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +56.9% | EV +335.9% | ROI -38.8% | n=135 | k=5.90
2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.8% | EV -2.7% | ROI +44.8% | n=135 | k=1.50
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.9% | EV -12.2% | ROI -89.6% | n=135 | k=2.50
AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Roma leading 2:0, the home team is increasing pressure, reflected by the drop in odds for AH_AWAY+1.5 to 5.90. Historical validation for this market is weak with an ROI of -38.8%, despite the model showing a strong edge and EV, but the entry window closed after the 86th minute. TOP-4 highlights AH_AWAY+1.5 as a watch market, with the current status being Watch, not Bet. Opening a bet requires an earlier timing or additional confirmation of pressure and momentum.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 90