Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	-	1.93	1.35	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	-	-	-	3.1	1.93

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.22	6	15	1.03	1.12	4	-	-	1.12	6	1.62	2.25	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +17.5% | EV +70.0% | ROI +66.2% | n=130 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.2% | EV +53.3% | ROI +55.7% | n=130 | k=3.10

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +7.2% | EV +43.4% | ROI +38.5% | n=130 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.6% | EV +8.9% | ROI +31.8% | n=130 | k=1.92

AI-agent: At the 36th minute with Arsenal leading 1-0, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by an 11% drop in odds from pre-match levels. However, shot data does not clearly favor either team, and recent play has seen Newcastle applying more pressure. Historical data from 130 similar matches supports a double chance on Newcastle (X2) with a strong ROI of 66.2% and an edge of +17.5%. Despite this, the model has not triggered a bet due to current match dynamics and entry rules. The top recommended options are all watches rather than mandatory bets, suggesting a cautious monitoring approach rather than immediate action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379299 | minute: 36