Match Replay

Step 25 of 65. Current minute: 39 .

Pause Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 25 of 65 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	-	1.95	1.35	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	-	-	-	3.1	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.2	6	15	1.03	1.12	4.33	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.68	2.15	3.2	1.36

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +19.0% | EV +82.2% | ROI +81.1% | n=122 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.5% | EV +54.4% | ROI +58.3% | n=122 | k=3.10

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +7.0% | EV +41.9% | ROI +37.7% | n=122 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.0% | EV +9.5% | ROI +33.9% | n=122 | k=1.90

AI-agent: At 39 minutes, Arsenal leads Newcastle 1-0, but the market shows increased confidence in the visitors with a 13% drop in odds for the home win since pre-match. Shot data does not clearly favor either side, and recent play has seen Newcastle applying more pressure. Historical data supports a double chance on Newcastle or draw (X2) with a strong ROI of 81.1% from 122 similar matches, indicating a fair value at odds around 2.39. The model identifies an edge of +19.0% and expected value over +80% for X2 at odds 4.33, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation, suggesting caution despite the promising indicators.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379299 | minute: 39