Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	-	2.08	1.4	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	9	2	7	1	-	-	-	-	2.85	1.73

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.22	5.5	15	1.03	1.14	4	-	-	1.22	4.33	2	1.85	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +18.7% | EV +74.8% | ROI +66.1% | n=118 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.8% | EV +50.8% | ROI +45.5% | n=118 | k=2.85

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +7.3% | EV +40.4% | ROI +39.8% | n=118 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.1% | EV +5.4% | ROI +18.4% | n=118 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At halftime with Arsenal leading 1-0, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by an 11% drop in odds from pre-match levels. However, shot data does not clearly favor either team, and recent play has seen Newcastle applying more pressure. Historical data for similar situations favors a double chance on Newcastle (X2) with a strong ROI of 66.1% and an edge of +18.7%, but the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match dynamics. The top recommended options are to watch the double chance on Newcastle or Asian handicap +1 for the away team, both showing positive expected value but warranting cautious monitoring rather than immediate betting.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379299 | minute: 45