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Match Replay

Step 56 of 65. Current minute: 86 .
England | Premier League | Arsenal - Newcastle | 25.04.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 86'   —   Arsenal 1:0 Newcastle
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 7 2 5 4 - 3.55 1.38 - - -
Away 0 0 0 11 2 9 1 - - - - 3 1.27
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.07 8.5 81 1 1.07 8.5 - - 2.5 1.55 13 1.04 2.75 1.44
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.0% | EV +75.1% | ROI +32.6% | n=46 | k=3.00
2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +23.3% | EV +33.7% | ROI +44.4% | n=46 | k=1.44
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.2% | EV -4.9% | ROI +4.5% | n=46 | k=1.55
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.3% | EV -3.3% | ROI -18.5% | n=46 | k=2.50
AI-agent: At the 86th minute with Arsenal leading 1-0, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by a 22% drop in odds since pre-match. However, shot data does not clearly favor either team, and recent play lacks sustained pressure from one side. Historical data supports a +1 away handicap with a 66.7% win rate and 32.6% ROI, indicating value. The model identifies a strong edge and expected value on AH_AWAY+1 at odds of 3.00, but entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not yet met. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, suggesting caution despite promising indicators.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379299 | minute: 86