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Match Replay

Step 57 of 65. Current minute: 87 .
England | Premier League | Arsenal - Newcastle | 25.04.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 87'   —   Arsenal 1:0 Newcastle
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 7 2 5 4 - 4.25 1.48 - - -
Away 0 0 0 11 2 9 1 - - - - 2.7 1.21
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.08 8 81 1 1.08 8 - - 2.8 1.45 17 1.02 2.75 1.44
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.7% | EV +69.3% | ROI +27.7% | n=47 | k=2.70
2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +23.3% | EV +33.7% | ROI +44.4% | n=47 | k=1.44
3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -3.4% | ROI -22.6% | n=47 | k=2.80
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.5% | EV -5.0% | ROI +4.9% | n=47 | k=1.45
AI-agent: At the 87th minute with Arsenal leading 1-0, market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 22% drop in odds from pre-match levels. However, shot data does not confirm clear dominance, and recent minutes show no sustained pressure from either team. Historical analysis supports a +1 away handicap with a 71.4% win rate and a solid ROI of 27.7%, indicating value. The model identifies a strong edge (+25.7%) and expected value (+69.3%) for this bet, but the entry window has closed after the 86th minute. Top-4 markets suggest watching the +1 away handicap and under 3.5 goals as promising options, but no active bets are recommended now, making this a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379299 | minute: 87