Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	11	4	7	7	-	2.08	1.6	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	12	3	9	1	-	-	-	-	2.3	1.73

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.38	5	7.5	1.08	1.17	2.75	-	-	1.22	4.33	1.67	2.2	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +58.5% | EV +253.6% | ROI +271.4% | n=42 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +42.8% | EV +94.2% | ROI +120.0% | n=42 | k=2.20

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +23.3% | EV +33.7% | ROI +44.4% | n=42 | k=1.44

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.9% | ROI +68.4% | n=42 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At the 90th minute, Arsenal leads Newcastle 1-0 with no red cards shown. The market shows no strong signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting a balanced game despite Arsenal's current lead. Shot data does not clearly favor either side, though Arsenal has applied pressure in the final phase. Historical analysis supports a high probability (85.7%) for under 1.5 total goals, with strong ROI, but the entry window for this bet closed after the 86th minute. The top recommended bets remain under 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 goals, all with positive expected value, yet currently this is a watch situation rather than a betting opportunity due to timing and risk control considerations.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379299 | minute: 90