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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	-	1.82	1.32	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	4	1	3	0	-	-	-	-	3.3	2.02

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.2	6	15	1.03	1.12	4.33	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.53	2.5	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +19.0% | EV +82.2% | ROI +74.6% | n=134 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.8% | EV +55.3% | ROI +59.1% | n=134 | k=3.30

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +7.0% | EV +41.9% | ROI +38.8% | n=134 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.3% | EV +6.8% | ROI +34.5% | n=134 | k=2.02

AI-agent: At 31 minutes into the Arsenal vs Newcastle match, Arsenal leads 1-0, but the market pressure has shifted towards Newcastle with a 13% drop in odds for the home side since pre-match. Shot data does not clearly favor either team, and recent play shows no sustained dominance. Historically, similar situations favor a draw or away win with a 40.3% probability and a strong ROI of 74.6%. The best model suggestion is a double chance on Newcastle (X2) with an edge of +19.0% and expected value of +82.2%, but the entry conditions are not yet met, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Risk control advises monitoring the match further before committing.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379299 | minute: 31