Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	3	1	1	-	-	-	1.77	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	3	-	-	-	2.1	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.5	3.1	2.88	1.36	1.33	1.5	1.1	7	1.5	2.62	2.62	1.5	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.9% | ROI -5.4% | n=1285 | k=2.88

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.4% | EV -3.6% | ROI +6.6% | n=1285 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.8% | EV -4.2% | ROI +3.4% | n=1285 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.7% | EV -4.5% | ROI +9.3% | n=1285 | k=2.62

AI-agent: At the 30th minute of Fulham vs Aston Villa, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with odds dropping 14% from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced gameplay but slightly more shots from Fulham. Historical data is weak and does not support a strong bet on an away win despite the model's small edge of +0.3% and EV of +0.9%. The best current option is a cautious watch on Aston Villa to win at odds of 2.88, but the edge is below the minimum threshold, so no bet is recommended. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry, with risk control advised given the negative ROI in history and lack of sustained pressure from either side.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379303 | minute: 30