Match Replay

Step 51 of 75. Current minute: 64 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	10	5	5	1	-	3.7	2.25	1.8	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	1	5	4	-	-	-	2.05	1.68	1.26

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.4	3.75	11	1.05	1.25	2.75	-	-	1.44	2.75	3.2	1.36	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.9% | ROI +0.1% | n=373 | k=1.68

2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -5.3% | ROI +3.2% | n=373 | k=2.75

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.6% | EV -8.1% | ROI -5.1% | n=373 | k=2.25

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.7% | EV -3.6% | ROI +6.7% | n=373 | k=1.36

AI-agent: At the 64th minute, Fulham leads Aston Villa 1-0 in a balanced match with slightly more shots from the home side. Market pressure favors Fulham, reflected by a 45% drop in odds since pre-match. Historical data on similar situations supports a +1 handicap on Aston Villa with a modest positive ROI, but the current model edge is negative at -0.5%, below the threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 markets also indicate no clear value bets now, suggesting this is a monitoring phase rather than a betting opportunity. The historical check is reliable, yet the model advises caution due to expected negative value and edge.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379303 | minute: 64