Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	11	5	6	2	-	3.8	2.15	1.8	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	1	5	4	-	-	-	2.05	1.73	1.25

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.33	4	13	1.04	1.22	3.25	-	-	1.57	2.38	3.75	1.28	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +1.4% | EV +4.6% | ROI +237.5% | n=365 | k=3.25

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.4% | ROI -0.7% | n=365 | k=1.73

3) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -2.7% | EV -10.8% | ROI +192.6% | n=365 | k=4.00

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -5.4% | ROI +10.8% | n=365 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At the 66th minute, Fulham leads Aston Villa 1-0 in a closely contested Premier League match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting their active play and shot advantage. Historical data supports a double chance on Aston Villa (X2) with a strong ROI of +237.5%, but the current model edge of +1.4% is below the threshold for a confident bet, suggesting caution. The top markets recommend watching the double chance and Asian handicap +1 for Aston Villa, while avoiding bets on draw or under 1.5 goals due to negative expected value. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379303 | minute: 66