Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	11	5	6	2	-	4	2.25	1.8	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	1	5	4	-	-	-	2.05	1.68	1.23

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4	13	1.04	1.22	3	-	-	1.61	2.3	4	1.25	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.5% | EV +0.8% | ROI -1.7% | n=349 | k=1.68

2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.2% | EV -5.1% | ROI +0.8% | n=349 | k=2.30

3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.2% | EV -5.1% | ROI -9.3% | n=349 | k=1.61

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.6% | EV -10.4% | ROI -2.3% | n=349 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At the 70th minute, Fulham leads Aston Villa 1-0 in a closely contested Premier League match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 47% from pre-match levels, reflecting their slightly higher shot activity. Historical data for the away handicap +1 shows a weak edge and negative ROI, so the model suggests watching rather than betting now. The best candidate bet is AH_AWAY+1 at 1.68 odds, but the edge of +0.5% is below the minimum threshold, indicating caution. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, with no red cards and a balanced tempo in recent minutes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379303 | minute: 70