Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	11	5	6	2	-	4.4	2.2	1.8	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	1	6	5	-	-	-	2.05	1.7	1.2

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.28	4.33	21	1.01	1.2	3.5	-	-	1.93	1.93	6	1.12	21	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.2% | EV +3.8% | ROI +1.7% | n=302 | k=1.70

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +1.5% | EV +5.3% | ROI -11.9% | n=302 | k=3.50

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -3.7% | ROI +3.9% | n=302 | k=1.92

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.0% | EV -3.8% | ROI -11.4% | n=302 | k=1.92

AI-agent: At the 76th minute in Fulham's 1-0 lead over Aston Villa, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels. Fulham has been more active in shots, reflecting the current scoreline, though recent pressure has been balanced. Historical data for similar situations supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Aston Villa with a moderate ROI, but the model's edge at +2.2% is just below the threshold for a confident bet. The top markets suggest watching the +1 AH on Aston Villa as the best option, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity due to risk control considerations.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379303 | minute: 76