Match Replay

Step 62 of 75. Current minute: 78 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	11	5	6	2	-	4.5	2.2	1.8	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	1	6	5	-	-	-	2.05	1.7	1.19

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	4.33	26	1.01	1.2	3.75	-	-	2.02	1.82	7	1.1	23	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.6% | EV +4.4% | ROI +3.0% | n=285 | k=1.70

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +2.9% | EV +11.0% | ROI -10.5% | n=285 | k=3.75

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.2% | EV -4.0% | ROI +6.9% | n=285 | k=1.82

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.0% | EV -4.0% | ROI -16.2% | n=285 | k=2.02

AI-agent: At 78 minutes, Fulham leads Aston Villa 1-0 in a closely contested match. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected in a 51% drop in odds from pre-match levels, with Fulham showing more shots and activity. Historical data for similar situations suggests a slight edge for Aston Villa or a draw, but the historical ROI is negative and the check is weak, so caution is advised. The model indicates a potential value bet on Aston Villa double chance (X2) with an edge of +2.9% and EV of +11.0%, but this does not meet the minimum entry threshold, so no bet is recommended. Top-4 markets also suggest watching the away +1 handicap and double chance X2, but no strong betting signals are confirmed. This remains a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379303 | minute: 78