Match Replay

Step 68 of 75. Current minute: 86 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	11	5	6	2	-	6.6	2.3	1.8	-	-
Away	0	0	0	9	1	8	5	-	-	-	2.05	1.65	1.11

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.17	5.5	51	1	1.14	5	-	-	2.9	1.43	19	1.02	23	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.8% | EV +7.9% | ROI +1.5% | n=240 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.1% | EV +25.3% | ROI -20.8% | n=240 | k=5.00

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.1% | EV -4.4% | ROI +5.1% | n=240 | k=1.42

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -4.5% | ROI -23.9% | n=240 | k=2.90

AI-agent: At the 86th minute with Fulham leading 1-0, market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 54% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Fulham has been more active in shots and tempo, though Aston Villa is pressing strongly in the final phase. Historical data for over 2.5 goals is weak and shows a negative ROI, so this bet is not advised despite a model edge and positive expected value. The top-4 markets suggest watching Asian Handicap +1 on Aston Villa or Double Chance X2, both with moderate edges but no strong signals to place a bet now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, emphasizing risk control given the current match dynamics and historical uncertainty.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379303 | minute: 86