Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	13	6	7	2	-	6.6	2.2	1.8	-	-
Away	0	0	0	10	1	9	5	-	-	-	2.05	1.7	1.11

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.03	15	451	1	1.1	7	-	-	7.25	1.1	26	1.01	23	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +9.9% | EV +21.7% | ROI -1.7% | n=217 | k=2.20

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -14.2% | EV -24.1% | ROI +0.3% | n=217 | k=1.70

AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Fulham leading 1-0 against Aston Villa, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 60% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Fulham has shown more activity in shots and tempo compared to Aston Villa, aligning with the current scoreline. Historical data for the -1 handicap on Fulham is weak and does not support a profitable bet, and the entry window for this market closed after the 86th minute. The best model suggestion is the -1 handicap on Fulham with positive expected value and edge, but given the closed entry and historical ROI below zero, this is a watch situation rather than a clear betting opportunity. No bet is advised on Aston Villa +1 due to negative edge and expected value.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379303 | minute: 90