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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	3	1	0	-	-	-	1.77	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	3	-	-	-	2.1	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.5	3.2	2.88	1.36	1.33	1.5	1.1	7	1.44	2.75	2.38	1.57	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.9% | ROI -3.9% | n=1352 | k=2.88

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.8% | EV -4.4% | ROI +9.2% | n=1352 | k=1.57

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -3.1% | EV -4.7% | ROI +2.6% | n=1352 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -5.3% | ROI +10.4% | n=1352 | k=2.75

AI-agent: At 28 minutes in a goalless match between Fulham and Aston Villa, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw, with odds dropping 11% from pre-match levels. Fulham is more active in shots and overall play, but no sustained dominance is evident recently. Historical data is weak and does not support a confident bet on an away win, despite the model indicating a slight edge and positive expected value for Aston Villa. Given the low model edge (+0.6%) below the minimum threshold (+6.0%) and mixed historical ROI, this is a monitoring situation rather than a recommended bet. Caution is advised as the market and model signals do not align strongly enough for a firm entry now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379303 | minute: 28