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Match Replay

Step 19 of 53. Current minute: 34 .
England | Premier League | Liverpool - Crystal Palace | 25.04.2026 | 19:00:00 | LIVE 34'   —   Liverpool 1:0 Crystal Palace
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 3 0 3 3 - 1.85 1.38 1.32 - -
Away 0 0 0 3 0 3 3 - - - 3.3 3 2
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.25 6 12 1.04 1.12 3.75 - - 1.07 9 1.36 3.2 2.1 1.73
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.3% | EV +53.6% | ROI +29.1% | n=275 | k=3.75
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +13.6% | EV +40.9% | ROI +21.7% | n=275 | k=3.00
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +6.6% | EV +39.5% | ROI +24.4% | n=275 | k=6.00
4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.7% | EV +7.4% | ROI NA | n=275 | k=2.00
AI-agent: At 34 minutes with Liverpool leading 1-0, the market favors the home side, reflected by a 19% drop in odds since pre-match, yet shot stats do not clearly support dominance by either team. The game tempo is slower than their previous meeting, which ended 2-1 with a similar score at this stage. Historical data for similar situations suggests a 67.6% chance for Crystal Palace to draw or win, with a solid ROI of 29.1%. The model identifies value in betting on Crystal Palace double chance (X2) at 3.75 odds with a strong edge and expected value, but entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not fully met, so this remains a watch scenario. Other top markets also suggest monitoring rather than immediate bets, emphasizing risk control in this balanced contest.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379304 | minute: 34