Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	6	1	5	3	-	2.02	1.45	1.32	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	3	-	-	-	3.3	2.67	1.82

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	12	29	1.01	1.04	10	-	-	-	-	1.1	7	1.48	2.6

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +21.2% | EV +43.0% | ROI -40.2% | n=122 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.8% | EV +8.4% | ROI -28.5% | n=122 | k=1.45

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -5.9% | ROI -3.2% | n=122 | k=2.60

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -12.1% | EV -32.4% | ROI +40.5% | n=122 | k=2.67

AI-agent: At 39 minutes into the Liverpool vs Crystal Palace match, Liverpool leads 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 32% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance. The game tempo shows Liverpool applying pressure, but the overall play remains balanced. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support opening a bet on Liverpool -1 handicap despite the model indicating a positive edge and expected value. The top markets suggest watching the Liverpool -1 and -1.5 handicaps due to potential value but advise caution given negative historical ROI. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379304 | minute: 39