Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	2	5	3	-	2.02	1.45	1.32	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	4	-	-	-	3.3	2.67	1.82

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	12	29	1.01	1.04	10	-	-	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.55	2.38

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.2% | EV +7.5% | ROI +21.6% | n=56 | k=1.45

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +19.2% | EV +38.8% | ROI +37.4% | n=56 | k=2.02

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -2.6% | EV -6.2% | ROI +18.8% | n=56 | k=2.38

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -11.6% | EV -30.9% | ROI -52.9% | n=56 | k=2.67

AI-agent: At 45 minutes, Liverpool leads Crystal Palace 2-0, with no red cards. The market strongly favors Liverpool, with odds dropping 32% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. Despite Liverpool's lead, Crystal Palace has been more active in shots, and recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side. Historical data supports a bet on Liverpool with a -1 handicap, showing an 88.4% win rate and a 21.6% ROI over 56 similar matches. The model confirms this with a positive edge of 5.2% and expected value of 7.5% at odds of 1.45. The best recommended bet is Liverpool AH -1, but higher handicaps and under 3.5 goals are only watch or no bet options, indicating a need for cautious risk management. This is a favorable but not guaranteed opportunity, so monitor the game flow closely.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379304 | minute: 45