Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	2	5	3	-	2.02	1.45	1.32	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	5	-	-	-	3.3	2.67	1.82

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	12	29	1.01	1.04	11	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.73	2.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.2% | EV +7.5% | ROI +21.6% | n=56 | k=1.45

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +18.9% | EV +38.3% | ROI +37.4% | n=56 | k=2.02

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -2.5% | EV -5.2% | ROI +5.0% | n=56 | k=2.10

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.1% | EV -6.2% | ROI -41.1% | n=56 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At halftime, Liverpool leads Crystal Palace 2-0, with market odds favoring the home side as their price dropped 32% from pre-match levels. Despite Liverpool's lead, Palace has been more active in shots, and recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side. Historical data supports a bet on Liverpool with a -1 handicap, showing an 88.4% win rate and a positive ROI of 21.6%. The model confirms this bet with a 5.2% edge and 7.5% expected value, though no new position is opened as it may already be covered. The top recommendation is to back Liverpool -1, but monitoring the -1.5 handicap is advised for a potentially higher return, while bets on under 3.5 or 2.5 goals are not recommended. This is a calculated opportunity with controlled risk based on current match dynamics and historical trends.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379304 | minute: 45