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Match Replay

Step 35 of 53. Current minute: 66 .
England | Premier League | Liverpool - Crystal Palace | 25.04.2026 | 19:00:00 | LIVE 66'   —   Liverpool 2:0 Crystal Palace
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 7 2 5 4 - 2.02 1.45 1.32 - -
Away 0 0 0 9 4 5 6 - - - 3.3 2.67 1.82
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.03 17 51 1 1.02 15 - - - - 1.4 2.85 2.85 1.4
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +8.7% | EV +12.7% | ROI +20.4% | n=51 | k=1.45
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +21.7% | EV +43.9% | ROI +27.1% | n=51 | k=2.02
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.2% | EV -5.8% | ROI +9.8% | n=51 | k=1.40
4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -4.4% | EV -6.1% | ROI +1.6% | n=51 | k=1.40
AI-agent: At 66 minutes with Liverpool leading 2-0, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 34% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Despite Liverpool's lead, Crystal Palace has been more active in shots, indicating the scoreline doesn't fully represent the match dynamics. Historical data supports a handicap bet on Liverpool -1 with an 88.9% win rate and a positive ROI of 20.4%, confirming a solid edge and expected value. The model confirms this bet with an edge of +8.7% and EV of +12.7%, though no new position is opened as it may already be covered. The top recommendation is to back Liverpool -1 at 1.45 odds, while monitoring Liverpool -1.5 for a potential higher value opportunity. Over 2.5 and under 3.5 goals are not advised currently. This is a favorable but controlled betting scenario based on current tempo and historical trends.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379304 | minute: 66