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Match Replay

Step 40 of 53. Current minute: 76 .
England | Premier League | Liverpool - Crystal Palace | 25.04.2026 | 19:00:00 | LIVE 76'   —   Liverpool 2:1 Crystal Palace
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 8 2 6 5 - 3 1.52 1.32 - -
Away 1 0 0 10 5 5 6 - - - 3.3 2.42 1.38
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.17 5.5 29 1.01 1.14 5 - - - - - - 1.7 2.1
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +16.1% | EV +80.5% | ROI +51.8% | n=56 | k=5.00
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.8% | EV +40.6% | ROI +20.0% | n=56 | k=2.42
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +7.4% | EV +40.8% | ROI +37.5% | n=56 | k=5.50
4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.5% | ROI +5.6% | n=56 | k=1.38
AI-agent: At 76 minutes with Liverpool leading 2-1, the market favors the home side, reflected by a 25% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Despite Liverpool's lead, Crystal Palace shows more shots and slightly higher activity, though neither team maintains sustained pressure recently. Historical data for away handicap +1 shows a positive ROI of 20% and a 56.7% win rate over 56 matches, supporting this bet's value. However, the model has not triggered an entry due to current match tempo and score conditions, so this remains a watch situation rather than a firm bet. The top markets also suggest monitoring rather than betting, emphasizing risk control in this balanced scenario.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379304 | minute: 76