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Match Replay

Step 41 of 53. Current minute: 78 .
England | Premier League | Liverpool - Crystal Palace | 25.04.2026 | 19:00:00 | LIVE 78'   —   Liverpool 2:1 Crystal Palace
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 8 2 6 5 - 3.3 1.6 1.32 - -
Away 1 0 0 10 5 5 6 - - - 3.3 2.4 1.32
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.17 5.5 34 1 1.14 5 - - - - - - 1.88 1.98
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +16.1% | EV +80.4% | ROI +41.5% | n=53 | k=5.00
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.4% | EV +44.1% | ROI +13.2% | n=53 | k=2.40
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +7.4% | EV +40.9% | ROI +24.5% | n=53 | k=5.50
4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.5% | EV +0.7% | ROI -2.5% | n=53 | k=1.32
AI-agent: At the 78th minute, Liverpool leads Crystal Palace 2:1, but the market shows growing support for the visitors, with odds on Crystal Palace improving by 25% from pre-match levels. Despite Liverpool's lead, Crystal Palace has been more active in shots, and neither side is maintaining sustained pressure recently. Historical data for similar situations supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Crystal Palace with a positive ROI of 13.2%, and the model indicates a strong edge and expected value for this bet. However, the current match dynamics do not yet meet the entry criteria, so this remains a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. The top markets also suggest monitoring rather than immediate action, emphasizing risk control in this balanced scenario.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379304 | minute: 78