Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	8	2	6	5	-	3.8	1.62	1.32	-	-
Away	1	0	0	13	7	6	6	-	-	-	3.3	2.35	1.25

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.14	6	51	1	1.12	5.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.25	1.68

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +16.0% | EV +87.9% | ROI -12.0% | n=50 | k=5.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.4% | EV +45.6% | ROI -6.4% | n=50 | k=2.35

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +7.0% | EV +42.1% | ROI -4.0% | n=50 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -2.4% | EV -4.0% | ROI -6.2% | n=50 | k=1.68

AI-agent: At the 83rd minute with Liverpool leading 2-1, the market is favoring the home side, reflected by a 26% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Despite Liverpool's lead, Crystal Palace is applying pressure and has more shots, indicating a dynamic game that the scoreline doesn't fully capture. Historical data for similar situations is weak, with a negative ROI and no confirmed entry for the +1 away handicap, although the model shows a positive edge and expected value. The top-4 markets suggest watching the double chance on Crystal Palace or the +1 away handicap, but no clear betting opportunity yet. This is a monitoring phase rather than a firm recommendation to bet, with risk control advised given the current match tempo and statistics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379304 | minute: 83