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England | Premier League | Liverpool - Crystal Palace | 25.04.2026 | 19:00:00 | HT   —   Liverpool 2:0 Crystal Palace
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 7 2 5 3 - 2.02 1.45 1.32 - -
Away 0 0 0 8 3 5 5 - - - 3.3 2.67 1.82
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.05 12 29 1.01 1.04 10 - - - - 1.14 5.5 1.67 2.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.3% | EV +6.3% | ROI +21.6% | n=56 | k=1.45
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +16.2% | EV +32.8% | ROI +37.4% | n=56 | k=2.02
3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -2.4% | EV -5.2% | ROI +10.0% | n=56 | k=2.20
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.1% | EV -6.2% | ROI -41.1% | n=56 | k=5.50
AI-agent: At halftime, Liverpool leads Crystal Palace 2-0, with market odds strongly favoring the home side, reflecting a 32% drop from pre-match levels. Despite Liverpool's lead, Crystal Palace has been more active in shots, indicating the scoreline slightly overstates Liverpool's dominance. Historical data supports a bet on Liverpool with a -1 handicap, showing an 88.4% win rate and a 21.6% ROI over 56 matches, and the current model confirms this with a positive edge and expected value. The best recommended bet is Liverpool AH -1 at 1.45 odds, though no new position is advised as it may already be covered. Other markets suggest watching the AH -1.5 for potential higher returns but with more risk, while under 3.5 and 2.5 goals are not recommended. This is a favorable but controlled betting opportunity based on current tempo and historical trends.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379304 | minute: 45