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England | Premier League | Liverpool - Crystal Palace | 25.04.2026 | 19:00:00 | LIVE 71'   —   Liverpool 2:0 Crystal Palace
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 7 2 5 5 - 2.02 1.45 1.32 - -
Away 0 0 0 10 5 5 6 - - - 3.3 2.67 1.82
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.02 19 51 1 1.02 19 - - - - 1.53 2.5 3.5 1.3
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.1% | EV +14.7% | ROI +20.7% | n=48 | k=1.45
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +24.5% | EV +49.6% | ROI +30.8% | n=48 | k=2.02
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.0% | EV -4.6% | ROI +11.8% | n=48 | k=1.53
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.2% | EV -5.5% | ROI -32.3% | n=48 | k=2.50
AI-agent: At the 71st minute with Liverpool leading 2-0, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 25% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Despite Liverpool's lead, Crystal Palace has been more active in shots, indicating the scoreline doesn't fully capture the match dynamics. Historical data supports backing Liverpool with a -1 handicap, showing an 88.6% win rate and a positive ROI of 20.7%. The model confirms this bet with a 10.1% edge and 14.7% expected value, though no new bet is opened as the position is already held. The top recommendation is to back Liverpool -1, but monitoring the -1.5 handicap is advised for potential higher value, while over/under 2.5 goals bets are not recommended currently due to negative expected value.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379304 | minute: 71